Deliverable 2.3 – Report on estimates is a public document summarising the process of analysis for obtaining estimates of the association between the multidimensional physical-functional characteristics of the urban environment in the three project cities (Valencia, Rotterdam and Rijeka) and the prevalence of risk behaviours and factors for Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) and, in particular, Cardiovascular Diseases (CVDs) and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM). In addition to presenting these estimates, the main purpose of this Deliverable is to constitute a necessary precedent for the formation of criteria and decision-making in subsequent phases of the project. In particular, this document aims to provide insights on what types of neighbourhoods can be found in each city and what behavioural and health outcomes they are systematically associated with, in order to define the urban areas in which the tasks planned under the framework of Work Package (WP) 3 and 4 will be implemented.
This Deliverable is closely related to Deliverable 2.2 – Thematic Maps. In particular, this Deliverable builds on the same working line as its preceding one, while broadening the focus of the analysis. Data on urban characteristics used in the preparation of that document are in turn used in the present Deliverable, tracing a clear sequence of analysis on which the project as a whole is built. In addition, the mapping of the spatial distribution of risk factors and risk behaviours is extended to the case of Rijeka (Annex 2), which could not be included in the previous Deliverable due to timing issues.
The Deliverable is structured as follows:
- Firstly, the methodological background behind the analysis approach is presented. This section summarises the sourcing and processing of the data, as well as the structure and methods of the analysis for each of the three project cities.
- Next, the main results are presented in the form of highlights, involving both the results from the neighbourhood classification analysis and the estimation of association measures. Annex consists of the output of the .Rmd document in which the R code was written in order to allow traceability of the data analysis process performed for each of the three cities separately. As access to some of the survey microdata sets (in particular those from the GGD Health Monitor – Rotterdam) is restricted, the document as a whole is not fully reproducible, although the sections for Valencia and Rijeka can be.
- Finally, Annex 2 presents natural break maps (Jenks) plotting the spatial distribution of the behavioural and health outcomes of interest, based on the survey data from the municipality of Rijeka.